📆 ThursdAI - Dec 4, 2025 - DeepSeek V3.2 Goes Gold Medal, Mistral Returns to Apache 2.0, OpenAI Hits Code Red, and US-Trained MOEs Are Back!
· Summarized
Key takeaways
- DeepSeek V3.2 showed exceptional performance in reasoning tasks, rivaling top models in the market.
- Mistral's return to open-source is significant, focusing on compliance and accessibility within AI technologies.
- OpenAI's Code Red indicates the competitive pressure they face from models like Gemini 3, indicating a shifting user base.
- Advancements in audio and video AI technologies are notable, with models like Runway Gen 4.5 and Kling Video 2.6 leading the way in their respective domains.
- Integrating AI efficiently in enterprise settings is a growing concern, highlighting the need for models tailored for compliance and rapid deployment.
Summary
Open Source AI Highlights
This week was packed with discussions about the latest releases in the open-source AI community, particularly the releases from DeepSeek and Mistral. DeepSeek V3.2 and V3.2-Speciale made headlines for achieving unprecedented performance standards, earning gold medals in competitive benchmarks and rivaling major models like GPT-5 and Gemini 3. Meanwhile, Mistral made a comeback with the Mistral Large 3 and Ministral 3 family of models, both fully open-source and Apache 2.0 licensed. The focus on compliance and the need for models trained in the US was a recurrent theme, especially for enterprises looking to adopt cutting-edge AI technologies.
Key Releases and Innovations
In the podcast, hosts discussed the implications of OpenAI's 'Code Red' in response to competitive models such as Gemini 3, revealing a 6% drop in its user base. OpenAI is rumored to be working on an efficient new model dubbed 'Garlic.' Meanwhile, Amazon introduced Nova 2 with significant improvements in their offerings, pushing for enterprise applications. There was a particular emphasis on the practical updates such as mid-training evaluation features introduced by Weights and Biases that would help streamline model training processes.
Video and Audio Innovations
The episode highlighted significant advancements in video generation models, particularly in how they handle physics simulation and audio synthesis. Runway's Gen 4.5, touted for its improved physical realism, was compared with Kling's Video 2.6, which demonstrated impressive native audio synchronization features. P-Image by Pruna AI provided sub-second image generation at minimal cost, making it appealing for rapid prototyping in creative applications. Hosts debated the pros and cons of different models, emphasizing the growing competition in image generation space.
Guest Insights and Predictions
Lucas Atkins from Arcee AI was featured as a guest, underscoring the importance of US-trained models and sharing insights on their new Trinity MOE family. He discussed the complex challenges of training models that are compliant with corporate regulations and the innovations that are necessary to keep pace in a rapidly evolving field. There was an optimistic outlook on the future of AI development and the responsibility to ensure that innovation remains transparent and aligned with community interests.
Sponsors
- Weights & Biases · This week's show is sponsored solely by Weights and Biases. We launched a new LLM evaluation service that allows you to evaluate models mid-training, without all the hassle.
- DeepSeek · DeepSeek released major updates this week: V3.2 and V3.2-Speciale, now achieving gold medal performances. Check out the full releases on Hugging Face.
- Mistral · Mistral returns with fully open Apache 2.0 licenses across the Mistral 3 models. Discover more details on their new releases.
- Arcee AI · Arcee released Trinity, a stable family of US-trained MOEs. Learn more about the models on Hugging Face and the Trinity Manifesto.
- Pruna AI · Pruna's P-Image releases sub-second generation at low costs. Try P-Image for quick image iterations.
Show notes
Hey yall, Alex here 🫡
Welcome to the first ThursdAI of December! Snow is falling in Colorado, and AI releases are falling even harder. This week was genuinely one of those “drink from the firehose” weeks where every time I refreshed my timeline, another massive release had dropped.
We kicked off the show asking our co-hosts for their top AI pick of the week, and the answers were all over the map: Wolfram was excited about Mistral’s return to Apache 2.0, Yam couldn’t stop talking about Claude Opus 4.5 after a full week of using it, and Nisten came out of left field with an AWQ quantization of Prime Intellect’s model that apparently runs incredibly fast on a single GPU. As for me? I’m torn between Opus 4.5 (which literally fixed bugs that Gemini 3 created in my code) and DeepSeek’s gold-medal winning reasoning model.
Speaking of which, let’s dive into what happened this week, starting with the open source stuff that’s been absolutely cooking.
Open Source LLMs
DeepSeek V3.2: The Whale Returns with Gold Medals
The whale is back, folks! DeepSeek released two major updates this week: V3.2 and V3.2-Speciale. And these aren’t incremental improvements—we’re talking about an open reasoning-first model that’s rivaling GPT-5 and Gemini 3 Pro with actual gold medal Olympiad wins.
Here’s what makes this release absolutely wild: DeepSeek V3.2-Speciale is achieving 96% on AIME versus 94% for GPT-5 High. It’s getting gold medals on IMO (35/42), CMO, ICPC (10/12), and IOI (492/600). This is a 685 billion parameter MOE model with MIT license, and it literally broke the benchmark graph on HMMT 2025—the score was so high it went outside the chart boundaries. That’s how you DeepSeek, basically.
But it’s not just about reasoning. The regular V3.2 (not Speciale) is absolutely crushing it on agentic benchmarks: 73.1% on SWE-Bench Verified, first open model over 35% on Tool Decathlon, and 80.3% on τ²-bench. It’s now the second most intelligent open weights model and ranks ahead of Grok 4 and Claude Sonnet 4.5 on Artificial Analysis.
The price is what really makes this insane: 28 cents per million tokens on OpenRouter. That’s absolutely ridiculous for this level of performance. They’ve also introduced DeepSeek Sparse Attention (DSA) which gives you 2-3x cheaper 128K inference without performance loss. LDJ pointed out on the show that he appreciates how transparent they’re being about not quite matching Gemini 3’s efficiency on reasoning tokens, but it’s open source and incredibly cheap.
One thing to note: V3.2-Speciale doesn’t support tool calling. As Wolfram pointed out from the model card, it’s “designed exclusively for deep reasoning tasks.” So if you need agentic capabilities, stick with the regular V3.2.
Check out the full release on Hugging Face or read the announcement.
Mistral 3: Europe’s Favorite AI Lab Returns to Apache 2.0
Mistral is back, and they’re back with fully open Apache 2.0 licenses across the board! This is huge news for the open source community. They released two major things this week: Mistral Large 3 and the Ministral 3 family of small models.
Mistral Large 3 is a 675 billion parameter MOE with 41 billion active parameters and a quarter million (256K) context window, trained on 3,000 H200 GPUs. There’s been some debate about this model’s performance, and I want to address the elephant in the room: some folks saw a screenshot showing Mistral Large 3 very far down on Artificial Analysis and started dunking on it. But here’s the key context that Merve from Hugging Face pointed out—this is the only non-reasoning model on that chart besides GPT 5.1. When you compare it to other instruction-tuned (non-reasoning) models, it’s actually performing quite well, sitting at #6 among open models on LMSys Arena.
Nisten checked LM Arena and confirmed that on coding specifically, Mistral Large 3 is scoring as one of the best open source coding models available. Yam made an important point that we should compare Mistral to other open source players like Qwen and DeepSeek rather than to closed models—and in that context, this is a solid release.
But the real stars of this release are the Ministral 3 small models: 3B, 8B, and 14B, all with vision capabilities. These are edge-optimized, multimodal, and the 3B actually runs completely in the browser with WebGPU using transformers.js. The 14B reasoning variant achieves 85% on AIME 2025, which is state-of-the-art for its size class. Wolfram confirmed that the multilingual performance is excellent, particularly for German.
There’s been some discussion about whether Mistral Large 3 is a DeepSeek finetune given the architectural similarities, but Mistral claims these are fully trained models. As Nisten noted, even if they used similar architecture (which is Apache 2.0 licensed), there’s nothing wrong with that—it’s an excellent architecture that works. Lucas Atkins later confirmed on the show that “Mistral Large looks fantastic... it is DeepSeek through and through architecture wise. But Kimi also does that—DeepSeek is the GOAT. Training MOEs is not as easy as just import deepseak and train.”
Check out Mistral Large 3 and Ministral 3 on Hugging Face.
Arcee Trinity: US-Trained MOEs Are Back
We had Lucas Atkins, CTO of Arcee AI, join us on the show to talk about their new Trinity family of models, and this conversation was packed with insights about what it takes to train MOEs from scratch in the US.
Trinity is a family of open-weight MOEs fully trained end-to-end on American infrastructure with 10 trillion curated tokens from Datology.ai. They released Trinity-Mini (26B total, 3B active) and Trinity-Nano-Preview (6B total, 1B active), with Trinity-Large (420B parameters, 13B active) coming in mid-January 2026.
The benchmarks are impressive: Trinity-Mini hits 84.95% on MMLU (0-shot), 92.1% on Math-500, and 65% on GPQA Diamond. But what really caught my attention was the inference speed—Nano generates at 143 tokens per second on llama.cpp, and Mini hits 157 t/s on consumer GPUs. They’ve even demonstrated it running on an iPhone via MLX Swift.
I asked Lucas why it matters where models come from, and his answer was nuanced: for individual developers, it doesn’t really matter—use the best model for your task. But for Fortune 500 companies, compliance and legal teams are getting increasingly particular about where models were trained and hosted. This is slowing down enterprise AI adoption, and Trinity aims to solve that.
Lucas shared a fascinating insight about why they decided to do full pretraining instead of just post-training on other people’s checkpoints: “We at Arcee were relying on other companies releasing capable open weight models... I didn’t like the idea of the foundation of our business being reliant on another company releasing models.” He also dropped some alpha about Trinity-Large: they’re going with 13B active parameters instead of 32B because going sparser actually gave them much faster throughput on Blackwell GPUs.
The conversation about MOEs being cheaper for RL was particularly interesting. Lucas explained that because MOEs are so inference-efficient, you can do way more rollouts during reinforcement learning, which means more RL benefit per compute dollar. This is likely why we’re seeing labs like MiniMax go from their original 456B/45B-active model to a leaner 220B/10B-active model—they can get more gains in post-training by being able to do more steps.
Check out Trinity-Mini and Trinity-Nano-Preview on Hugging Face, or read The Trinity Manifesto.
OpenAI Code Red: Panic at the Disco (and Garlic?)
It was ChatGPT’s 3rd birthday this week (Nov 30th), but the party vibes seem… stressful. Reports came out that Sam Altman has declared a “Code Red” at OpenAI.
Why? Gemini 3.The user numbers don’t lie. ChatGPT apparently saw a 6% drop in daily active users following the Gemini 3 launch. Google’s integration is just too good, and their free tier is compelling.
In response, OpenAI has supposedly paused “side projects” (ads, shopping bots) to focus…
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