Ep. 54 - Middle East War & Stock Market Projections

Jun 18, 2025

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Stocks have gone nowhere in the last month.

Much of this lackluster performance may be attributed to the Israeli conflict with Iran.

Let’s unpack a Middle East war & stock market projections playbook.

Geopolitical events are never fun to sit through. Whether it’s wars, debt downgrades, tariffs, or rate shocks – uncertainty is unsettling.

And while the future is unknown, at MoneyFlows we’ve come to learn that overreacting often proves costly.

We discussed a geopolitical playbook back in April 2024 after the Iran attack on Israel. Our message then was to study history for guidance.

Bailing out of stocks would’ve proved costly given the 18.6% rally in the S&P 500 ever since.

In a similar vein, today we’ll offer up a robust geopolitical signal study, looking at dozens of geopolitical events and market returns.

Then we’ll study a handful of prior Middle East tensions for clues.

Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.