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Cubans Take to the Streets

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Key takeaways

  • Cuba's recent protests are extraordinary due to their size and significance, as they mark a rare nationwide uprising expressing economic despair and political frustration.
  • Economic collapse in Cuba is driven by multiple factors including U.S. sanctions, the loss of subsidized Venezuelan oil, and the impact of COVID-19, leading to shortages and deteriorating healthcare and infrastructure.
  • Historical U.S. policies toward Cuba have historically aimed to influence regime change through economic pressure, a strategy that has deepened the country’s ongoing crisis.
  • The Cuban government’s response to unrest has been repressive and controlled, with authorities using violence, internet shutdowns, and propaganda, raising questions about future stability and reform.
  • The context of Cuba's protests involves both a desire for reform and dissatisfaction with the current regime, highlighting a complex blend of rebellion and hope for change.

Summary

The Catalyst and Nature of the Cuban Protests

This section explores the recent spontaneous protests in Cuba, a rarity given that large-scale demonstrations are uncommon there. The protests initially sparked in a small town near Havana due to widespread dissatisfaction with shortages of food, medicine, and power outages — issues worsened by the COVID-19 pandemic and economic hardship, which have led to living conditions so dire that citizens are resorting to extreme measures like waiting in long lines and suffering from medical shortages. The protests expanded across Cuba, fueled by internet access that allowed Cubans to see and feel part of a collective voice demanding change, with slogans echoing cries for freedom and a rejection of longstanding revolutionary rhetoric.

Historical Context and U.S.-Cuba Relations

This segment provides historical background on Cuba's political and economic situations, including the brief optimism during the Obama administration’s efforts to thaw relations through normalization and engagement policies, which increased American tourism and celebrity visits. It then explains how subsequent policies, notably under Trump, reversed these advances, heavily tightening restrictions and economic sanctions, which devastated Cuba’s key allies like Venezuela and exacerbated economic decline. The segment discusses how these external pressures, combined with internal issues, have pushed more Cubans to the brink, with increased migration attempts reminiscent of the 1990s exodus.

Current Government Response and Future Uncertainty

The Cuban government’s reaction has been repressive, with crackdowns on protests, internet shutdowns, and arrests of activists, coupled with a state narrative that blames external enemies for internal suffering. Meanwhile, the government has also issued a narrative of understanding and promised to address hardships, but these promises have not translated into substantive reforms. The discussion considers whether Cuba might experience another mass exodus like the 1994 ‘rafters’,’ or whether protests will continue to grow amid repression. It underscores the uncertain future and the deep frustration of the Cuban people, who are caught between internal repression and external sanctions.

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Show notes

This episode contains strong language.

It was a surprise to many recently when protesters took to the streets in a small town near Havana to express their grievances with Cuba’s authoritarian government. Cubans do not protest in huge numbers.

Even more remarkable: The protests spread across the island.

Why are Cubans protesting, and what happens next?

Guest: Ernesto Londoño, the Brazil bureau chief for The New York Times, covering the southern cone of South America. 

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For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily. Transcripts of each episode will be made available by the next workday. 

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