Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

Don't Be a Grinch, Keep Holding

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Key takeaways

  • The stock market experienced a dip post-holiday, though overall gains for 2024 were significant.
  • Consumer credit issues are rising, which may affect discretionary spending, particularly for lower-income earners.
  • Alphabet is focusing on AI and new products like Gemini as part of its strategy for the future.
  • Setting resolutions for personal improvement and investment strategies can help set a positive tone for the new year.

Summary

Market Trends and Year-End Analysis

In this segment, Dylan Lewis and Jason Moser discuss the recent performance of the stock market, noting that there's been a slight post-holiday hangover, with the S&P 500 down about 2% since Christmas. They attribute this dip to typical year-end profit-taking and tax-loss harvesting, which is common as investment firms clean up their portfolios. Despite this, they note that 2024 has seen an impressive market performance overall, with the S&P achieving a year-to-date return of around 26-27%.

Consumer Spending and Debt Concerns

The podcast shifts focus to the state of the American consumer, emphasizing the disparity between higher-income and lower-income earners. While higher earners appear to be okay, lower earners face significant challenges depicted by rising credit card delinquencies, which have skyrocketed by 50% year-over-year. The discussion centers around the implications of this growing debt on discretionary spending in 2025, particularly examining retail staples like Target and Walmart to gauge consumer trends.

Alphabet's Future and AI Strategy

Dylan and Jason then pivot to Alphabet's upcoming plans, spurred by CEO Sundar Pichai's recent strategic meeting. They highlight the disruptions and opportunities presented by AI, particularly as it relates to Google's traditional search and advertising models. The conversation touches upon Alphabet's multi-faceted approach to AI and the development of new products like Gemini, emphasizing how Google is looking to evolve and leverage its vast user base to stay competitive in the changing tech landscape.

New Year's Resolutions for Investors

In the final segment, Dylan and Jason reflect on personal and investment resolutions for the upcoming year. Dylan shares his intentions to enhance his daily routine, while Jason aims to minimize transaction activity and diversify his portfolio by adding new dividend-paying stocks. They emphasize the importance of maintaining a positive perspective and being proactive in both personal and investment habits as 2025 approaches.

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Show notes

We set the path for being better investors and friends in 2025.  

(0:13) Jason Moser and Dylan Lewis discuss:

- How some profit-taking and tax loss harvesting have caused a bit of a holiday hangover for the market to close 2024.
- Why mounting consumer credit card debt and delinquencies might finally start to eat into discretionary spending in 2025. 
- Alphabet’s agenda for the new year: AI, Gemini, and Project Mariner . 
- A few resolutions to ring in the new year.

Companies discussed: TGT, WMT, GOOG, GOOGL

Host: Dylan Lewis
Guests: Jason Moser
Producer: Ricky Mulvey
Engineers: Dez Jones
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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