Amazon and Disney See Ad Dollars
· Summarized
Key takeaways
- The economy is facing ongoing inflation issues, which are affecting interest rates and market stability.
- Consumer spending during the holiday shopping season showed positive growth, but attention to consumer debt could signal potential future challenges.
- Shifts in the advertising landscape indicate a renewed focus on ad-supported tiers, particularly for companies like Disney and Amazon.
- The real estate market is seen as transitionary, with expectations for an uptick in transactions and changes in affordability impacting future growth.
- Investors are encouraged to consider long-term strategies in both real estate and stock investments, despite current market uncertainties.
Summary
Macroeconomic Outlook and Job Market
The podcast opens with an exploration of the current macroeconomic landscape, especially in light of the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes and job report. Ron Gross highlights that the economy appears to be facing persistent inflation challenges, which has led to a slow-down in interest rate cuts by the Fed. A recent job report showing stronger-than-expected job creation has raised concerns about sustained inflation and interest rates, leading to a shaky market response.
The Holiday Shopping Season and Consumer Behavior
The hosts dive into the final holiday shopping figures, revealing that consumers spent approximately $241 billion online during the season, an 8% increase from the previous year. They discuss the implications of strong spending in categories like mobile and 'buy now, pay later' financing. Jason Moser emphasizes the importance of monitoring credit card debt and savings balances, as these factors could impact future consumer spending.
Advertising Trends: Disney and Amazon
Discussion shifts to the advertising landscape, focusing on Disney's report of 157 million ad-supported users across its streaming platforms, and Amazon's attempts to enhance its retail advertising services. Jason Moser notes the return to ad-supported models across platforms, indicating a more lucrative long-term strategy despite initial bumpy performance in user metrics. They also examine Meta's changes in content moderation, suggesting potential user and advertiser impacts.
State of Real Estate for 2025
The episode features an insightful interview with Dave Meyer from Bigger Pockets about the real estate market's transition and its future. Meyer discusses the cyclical nature of real estate and anticipates an end to the current housing recession in 2025. He highlights the pressing issues of affordability and its dual impact on supply and demand, while encouraging investors not to delay their entry into the market due to uncertainty about interest rates.
Stock Picks: Paylocity and Gannett
In the final segment, Ron Gross and Jason Moser share two stocks on their radar: Paylocity and Gannett. Moser explains Paylocity's role in providing cloud-based human capital management solutions, emphasizing its growth driven by AI advancements. Gross reviews Gannett's strategic transition from traditional newspapers to a more diversified media business, noting its ownership of regional properties and the challenges of the legacy media landscape.
Sponsors
- Fool.com · Listeners, you can become a member of Stock Advisor at Fool.com/signup
Show notes
Disney’s streaming numbers show ad-supported tiers are a hit with consumers, and Amazon takes aim at the approach that made Google’s ad business ubiquitous online.
(00:39) Ron Gross and Jason Moser discuss:
- What the December Fed minutes, latest jobs numbers, and final holiday shopping figures say about the big picture.
- The first look at Disney’s ad-supported streaming numbers, Amazon’s plans to come after Google’s ad turf, and Meta’s changes to its content moderation policies.
(19:03) Dave Meyer – head of real estate investing at Bigger Pockets – talks Matt Argersinger through the state of real estate and the markets he’s watching in 2025.
(33:43) Ron and Jason break down two stocks on their radar: Paylocity and Gannett.
Listeners, you can become a member of Stock Advisor at Fool.com/signup
Stocks discussed: DAL, DIS, META, GOOG, GOOGL, AMZN, ADBE, GCI, PCTY
Host: Dylan Lewis
Guests: Jason Moser, Ron Gross, Dave Meyer, Matt Argersinger
Engineers: Rick Engdahl
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Follow this show on AudioBrevity and new episodes get summarized for you. Create a free account