Planet Money

Would you trust an economist with your economy?

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Key takeaways

  • Trust in economists has significantly declined, compounded by political events and historical economic failures.
  • The 2008 financial crisis marked a pivotal moment that eroded public faith in economic forecasting.
  • Economists face challenges in presenting data to a skeptical audience, requiring them to engage more effectively with the public.
  • Rebuilding trust involves acknowledging mistakes, improving transparency, and offering clear, accessible communication.
  • The idea of 'costly signals' can help economists show their commitment to rebuilding credibility in their field.

Summary

The Context of Distrust in Economists

The episode begins with the pressing concern of trust in economists, highlighted by President Trump's dismissal of the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The podcast explores how this distrust is a reflection of broader skepticism towards experts across various fields, from government to healthcare.

The Erosion of Credibility

Throughout the discussion, economists reflect on the growing perception that their insights have led to significant mistakes, particularly during the 2008 financial crisis and subsequent events. They grapple with the implications of failing to predict economic downturns and express frustration about being accused of inaccurate data representation.

Voices from the Field

Featuring insights from various economists, the podcast delves into personal experiences of dealing with mistrust. The importance of accurate data is emphasized, along with the challenges faced when presenting findings to a public that may be dismissive due to past failures.

Rebuilding Trust in Economics

The conversation shifts towards potential solutions for rebuilding trust. Economists are encouraged to be honest about past mistakes, improve transparency, and engage with the public in a more meaningful way. The idea of providing 'costly signals' as a method to restore credibility is introduced.

The Path Forward

The episode concludes with hopeful perspectives on how economists can regain trust. Drawing from examples in behavioral economics, there is a consensus that acknowledging past errors, being transparent, and committing to future improvements are essential steps for the field.

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Show notes

Trust in experts is down. In all kinds of institutions and professions - in government, in media, in medical science... and lately, economists are feeling the burn acutely. In fact, President Trump just fired the economist who ran the Bureau of Labor Statistics, accusing her – with no evidence – of faking a jobs report that showed fewer gains than expected.

In decades past, economists whispered in the ears of presidents. Now, many politicians and voters are disenchanted with the field.

On today's show, we speak with economists about how distrust is messing with their minds and interfering with their work. Can they build up trust again?

Today's episode was hosted by Amanda Aronczyk. It was produced by Sam Yellowhorse Kesler and edited by Marianne McCune with help from Jess Jiang. It was engineered by Robert Rodriguez and fact-checked by Sierra Juarez. Alex Goldmark is Planet Money's executive producer.

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