HBR On Strategy

The Right Way to Launch an AI Initiative

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Key takeaways

  • AI projects are inherently more complex and riskier than traditional IT initiatives due to their probabilistic nature and ethical considerations.
  • Effective AI project success hinges on careful selection of impactful use cases aligned with business goals, rather than just trailing emerging technology.
  • Continuous experimentation and hypothesis testing are essential for improving AI products, but should be designed for simplicity and speed.
  • Evaluation of AI solutions must be ongoing, focusing not only on predictive accuracy but also on ecosystem impacts and long-term effects.
  • Organizations must balance rapid experimentation with ethical responsibility and trust-building, implementing robust monitoring and auditing protocols.

Summary

Understanding the High Failure Rate of AI Projects

Yavur Bozhinov discusses why artificial intelligence projects tend to have a failure rate of around 80%. Unlike traditional IT projects, AI projects are probabilistic and not deterministic, which introduces significant complexity and uncertainty. Challenges include poor project choice, low algorithm accuracy, bias, and lack of trust among users, even when the AI performs well technically. He shares a personal anecdote about a successful AI product that was underused due to trust issues, underscoring the importance of user acceptance.

Selecting and Prioritizing AI Projects

The episode emphasizes the critical first step of choosing the right AI project or use case. Bozhinov points out that many organizations make mistakes due to misalignment between data science interests and business impact. He advocates for focusing on impact first, then feasibility, including ethical considerations like privacy, fairness, and transparency. Understanding the intended audience—internal employees or external customers—is crucial, along with involving users early to ensure the project addresses real needs and builds trust.

Designing and Conducting Effective AI Experiments

Bozhinov discusses the importance of experimentation to improve AI products, citing Etsy’s example of testing a new interface feature. The key is formulating clear hypotheses before testing, rather than viewing MVPs as one-off solutions. Simplifying experiments—like changing just one parameter instead of overhauling systems—can save time and resources. Continuous learning and refining based on experiments ensure AI initiatives evolve effectively and efficiently.

Evaluation, Monitoring, and Auditing AI Solutions**

Evaluation isn’t a one-time step but an ongoing process. Bozhinov highlights that AI impacts extend beyond initial predictions due to complex ecosystems and long-term unintended consequences. Regular monitoring and audits, such as LinkedIn’s example where an algorithm affected users’ career opportunities, are necessary. These audits can reveal hidden effects and help organizations adapt their strategies accordingly, maintaining trust and maximizing value.

Balancing Speed and Ethical Responsibility in AI Deployment

Companies face the challenge of moving quickly with AI while maintaining ethical standards and protecting brand reputation. Bozhinov recommends building infrastructure to enable rapid experimentation in a safe and responsible way, such as pilot programs and opt-in testing. He stresses the importance of understanding the hypotheses behind experiments to make informed decisions about discarding or advancing AI initiatives, fostering both agility and responsibility.

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Show notes

Unfortunately, you can’t set up your organization’s artificial intelligence projects like just any other IT project. By their nature, AI endeavors are quite different and suffer high failure rates. But there are proven approaches you can take to increase your odds of success. Iavor Bojinov, assistant professor at Harvard Business School and former LinkedIn data scientist, breaks down five critical steps for an AI project to turn into an effective product: selection, development, evaluation, adoption, and management. He’s the author of the HBR article “Keep Your AI Projects on Track.”

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