Venture Unlocked: The playbook for venture capital managers

Betting on Founders Who Build the Real World

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Key takeaways

  • Eclipse’s physical-world thesis began with the belief that approximately 85% of the world’s $120 trillion GDP consists of industries where technology must connect “bits and atoms.”
  • The firm kept its high-conviction, high-ownership culture while increasing fund size and adding follow-on capacity as its companies and opportunity set became much larger.
  • Eclipse believes operator experience is its service to founders: partners use direct knowledge, relationships, and time rather than relying on generic platform teams or capital alone.
  • Transitioning from operator to investor requires the ability to scale down from managing large organizations and develop business judgment beyond technical or industry expertise.
  • Venture’s opportunity can expand even amid valuation excess because technology is moving into physical industries that previously represented a much larger share of the economy.
  • The private-market liquidity system is misaligned when employees receive liquidity before original investors, and it needs either better secondary structures or a simpler route to public markets.
  • Because venture returns follow a power law, disciplined investors must identify the few companies that can drive the fund and concentrate time and capital behind them.

Summary

Lior Susan’s path from farming and special forces to physical-world technology

Lior Susan described his career as a “purpose build without the strategy.” He grew up on a farm, began in agriculture, served in the Israeli Special Forces, then co-founded a networking-hardware company with his brother that was acquired by Cisco. He next joined Flextronics after meeting its CEO and helped build the company’s digital-transformation team. Those experiences gave him exposure to defense, hardware, and manufacturing. Susan said he had always been drawn to building in the physical world and, by 2015, believed those industries were about to undergo major digital transformation without investors focused specifically on them.

Why Eclipse began with a $125 million physical-industries thesis

Susan said his first partner, Pierre Lamond, was 85 when they met, while Susan was 30, and invited him to build a firm together after a short conversation. They shared a preference for small, tightly aligned teams, influenced by Lamond’s time at Sequoia and Susan’s Special Forces experience. Eclipse’s first fund was $125 million, including Susan’s own contribution, and took 16 months and five closes to raise. The thesis was that roughly 85% of the world’s approximately $120 trillion GDP comes from physical industries such as manufacturing, mining, defense, logistics, agriculture, and aviation, where companies must connect “bits and atoms.”

Eclipse expanded as physical companies became larger opportunities

Susan said Eclipse initially expected its best company to reach about a $5 billion valuation, but the firm now has several companies that could reach $70 billion or $80 billion. That changed the business model: Eclipse grew from its initial fund toward funds of more than $1 billion, added later-stage investing and follow-ons, and developed the ability to compound capital as companies inflect. The firm’s core approach did not change: high conviction, high ownership, high involvement, operator hiring, a shared economic structure, and exclusive focus on physical industries. The strategy adjusted because the opportunity set and capital needs became much larger.

A small operator-led team replaces platform functions

Eclipse hires exceptional operators and trains them to become investors; none of its members had previously worked as venture capitalists. The firm grew from four people to 26, but its nine partners make investment decisions collectively rather than allowing individual partners to invest alone. A deal requires at least three partners to pound the table, and anyone strongly opposed joins the deal team so the concern is resolved or the investment is rejected. Susan wants everyone to feel, when money is wired, “fuck yeah,” even if important questions remain. Eclipse has no associates or platform team: partners source, win, support, and eventually exit investments themselves.

The firm wins deals by offering operating experience, not just capital

Susan rejected the idea that Eclipse’s primary product is capital, calling capital a commodity and the partners’ time, networks, and operating knowledge the real offering. Founders in manufacturing can work with Greg Reichow, who built Tesla’s manufacturing operation; robotics founders can work with Charlie Munger, who deployed robotics at Tesla, Rivian, and CloudKitchens; enterprise founders can draw on executives who closed major deals at Rivian, Flexport, and Samsara. Eclipse mobilizes those partners around a company’s needs—for example, helping a business sign a $3 billion commercial agreement and then bringing in manufacturing expertise to build two additional factories.

Operator-to-investor transitions require scaling down and learning business judgment

Susan said moving from operating to investing remains difficult, and Eclipse has had former partners join portfolio companies. Operators accustomed to managing thousands of people suddenly become individual contributors who write memos, conduct outreach, and build deal materials themselves. They also go from being elite performers to venture-capital rookies, which creates a difficult psychological switch. Eclipse learned to screen for two traits: the ability to “scale down” and strong business instinct. Deep expertise in manufacturing, engineering, or supply chain is not enough because early-stage founders often need help with go-to-market, fundraising, and explaining how they will transform an industry.

Venture’s opportunity expanded as technology entered more of GDP

Susan does not spend much time deciding whether venture is in a bubble; he focuses on building companies. His structural argument is that venture capital is a way to introduce technology, and the addressable technology economy has expanded from internet, cloud, consumer, and enterprise software into space, automotive, defense, mining, and manufacturing. He noted that software itself is becoming more capital intensive, including through AI. Although he accepts that there is too much money and that some valuations are foolish, he believes the world will use more technology across more industries, which supports a larger venture opportunity.

Longer private-company lives expose a broken liquidity system

Susan said Eclipse evaluates investments through blended entry and follow-on costs and continually calculates whether the eventual cash-on-cash multiple remains attractive. He also argued that the venture model’s roughly 60-year-old duration assumptions need reconsideration. Public markets have become difficult to access, with burdensome SEC requirements, quarterly reporting, and a very high bar for companies seeking to list. Susan believes companies should either have simpler paths to IPOs or a better private-market system that lets substantial portions of a cap table change hands without signaling risk. In his view, employees currently receive liquidity before the original investors, creating a misalignment that should be fixed.

Discipline, power laws, and Susan’s deglobalization forecast

Susan credited Pierre Lamond with embedding discipline and “maniacal” honesty at Eclipse: teams must accurately assess company status, risks, opportunities, and whether to double down rather than look only at the half-full glass. His biggest investing lesson was that venture is a power-law business. Operators may believe they can fix everything, but a few companies generate most of the returns, so identifying them and concentrating time and capital matters enormously. For 2026, Susan predicted that deglobalization will accelerate. He argued that Western countries must better align capital, policy and government, talent, technology, and customer demand because China has benefited most from globalization and the West is behind.

Show notes

Follow me @samirkaji for my thoughts on the venture market, with a focus on the continued evolution of the VC landscape.

Welcome back to another episode of Venture Unlocked, the podcast that takes you behind the scenes of the business of venture capital.

In this episode, I sit down with Lior Susan from Eclipse to explore his journey from building companies in the physical world to founding and scaling a unique venture firm. We discuss the importance of high-conviction investing, assembling elite teams from operator backgrounds, and staying adaptable in a rapidly shifting market shaped by technology and AI. Lior shares lessons on discipline, honesty, and the realities of venture investing, offering actionable insights for anyone interested in building resilient companies or understanding what it takes to succeed in today’s venture landscape.

Thanks for listening to another episode of Venture Unlocked. We hope you enjoyed our conversation with Lior. If you’d like to get Venture Unlocked content straight to your inbox, go to ventureunlocked.substack.com and sign up, or go to Apple Podcasts or Spotify and subscribe. Thanks again for listening.

About Lior Susan

Lior Susan is the founder and managing partner of Eclipse, a venture capital firm focused on backing entrepreneurs who are building companies to transform physical industries. He began his career as a co-founder of Intucell, a software-defined networking startup that was acquired by Cisco in 2012. After that, he led the hardware investment platform Lab IX at Flextronics, deploying capital across energy storage, additive manufacturing, robotics, and wireless infrastructure. In 2015, Lior launched Eclipse to invest in startups transforming critical industries like manufacturing, logistics, supply chain, transportation, energy, and on. He draws on experience as an operator, investor, and former Israeli special forces serviceman to support founders tackling complex, real-world problems.

Eclipse is a firm headquartered in Palo Alto (with a New York presence) that partners with entrepreneurs building category-defining companies in physical industries. The firm builds and invests in companies at all stages, combining hardware, software, and systems to modernize “bits and atoms.” Since its founding in 2015, Eclipse has built and backed over 100 companies and helped accelerate startups like Bedrock, VulcanForms, True Anomaly, and Cerebras — companies driving innovation in construction, digital manufacturing infrastructure, defense capabilities, and AI infrastructure.

During the conversation, we discussed:

* Lior’s Career Path and Founding Eclipse (3:38)

* Reflecting on the Fund’s Origins and Initial Fundraising (6:46)

* Adjusting Firm Size and Strategy as Opportunities Grow (9:49)

* High-Conviction, High-Ownership Investment Approach (12:45)

* Decision-Making Process and Team Dynamics (14:57)

* Patterns Among Founders of Large Companies (17:27)

* The Evolution of Eclipse’s Value Proposition (20:23)

* Operator-to-Investor Transitions and Internal Training (24:49)

* Market Shifts and Macro Changes in Venture Capital (27:07)

* Exit Challenges, IPOs, and Long-Term Private Markets (30:27)

* Alignment Between LPs and Managers Around Exits (33:44)

* Lior’s Investment Lessons and Reflections on Power Law (35:17)

* Thoughts on Deglobalization and Future Predictions (36:32)

I’d love to know what you took away from this conversation with Lior. Follow me @SamirKaji and give me your insights and questions with the hashtag #ventureunlocked. If you’d like to be considered as a guest or have someone you’d like to hear from (GP or LP), drop me a direct message on X.



This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit ventureunlocked.substack.com

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