Odyssey CEO Oliver Cameron is 90% sure we live in a simulation | E2358
· Summarized
Key takeaways
- Jason’s central AI economics claim is that Launch gets roughly $2 million in value from about $40,000 of annual AI spending, or approximately $50 of output per dollar.
- AI agents became materially more useful when they gained persistent context, integrations with services such as Slack and Notion, and access to virtual computers that can complete tasks.
- The hosts want AI products to expose usage clearly through visible bars, reset timers, and per-task compute estimates instead of making users hunt for their remaining allowance.
- Oliver Cameron says Odyssey’s world models learn physics, dynamics, and causality from visual observations, then help robots and agents learn specialized tasks from relatively little additional experience.
- Cameron is 90% certain that reality is a simulation; Jason is highly receptive to the idea because humans are beginning to create simulated worlds containing animal-brain models.
- The hosts argue that AI companies will need to make benefits tangible in data-center communities through predictable taxes, infrastructure, training, and especially visibly improved schools.
- Jason expects personalized software agents to replace many standard interfaces by hiding advertising, reorganizing information, and acting on users’ behalf across platforms.
- Space-based compute is presented as a plausible long-term solution because orbit offers abundant solar energy and enormous usable volume without terrestrial land, water, or permitting constraints.
Summary
GrokBot users hit their weekly limits
The hosts open with Elon Musk’s explanation that GrokBot’s serving cost was “unsustainably high relative to revenue,” after users complained that their weekly limits disappeared within days. Musk gave no usage or pricing details; GrokBot had recently been described as SpaceX’s fastest-growing product, with 800,000 paid weekly users and a $30 monthly entry plan, plus $100 and $200 tiers. Jason says his company spends under $40,000 annually on AI tools but gets more than $2 million in value. Lon argues that GrokBot should show a visible usage bar and tell users how much compute each task consumes.
Jason’s team turns bots into a working organization
Jason says he pays for the $200 GrokBot tier for himself after adding team members on $30 plans, and has built specialized bots for video, research, LinkedIn, HTML pages, and Substack analytics. His analytics bot posts daily results to Slack and consults research bots, allowing it to recommend subjects based on readership and open rates; one comparable title performed 6% better. He says the team has automated at least seven full-time jobs and become roughly 100% faster at average tasks. Jason rejects outdated assumptions from 2023–24 that AI lacks context or cannot be trusted: connected bots with access and memory are a different product.
A fifteen-minute AI jacket lookbook replaced weeks of work
Jason demonstrates a GrokBot-built site for choosing jackets for Founder University Japan and Launch Accelerator. After roughly 10–15 minutes of voice instructions through WhisperFlow, the bot researched jacket types, created mock-ups, placed subtle company logos, suggested collar and inside-label treatments, sourced examples, and published the site to Jason’s URL. It also found a cultural distinction: Japanese consumers may find Japanese writing on clothing nerdy, while English text can seem stylish. The bot recommended a versatile chore jacket combining Texas ranch, Parisian, and Japanese influences, and extracted a design rule: patches look best grouped in one placement zone rather than scattered like a costume.
AI spending looks tiny beside the labor it replaces
Jason estimates that reproducing Launch’s software, design, research, content, podcast production, editing, and project-management output conventionally would require roughly 12–14 employees, including five or six developers, two designers, two project managers, and two or three additional content staff. At about $100,000 per employee, he calculates approximately $2 million in annual value against $40,000 of AI spending—roughly $50 of output per dollar. He stresses that value is only useful if tied to a business goal. The company is still hiring for distinctly human work such as on-camera performance, taste, community management, events, and video editing.
Why the latest agents finally finish tasks
The hosts attribute the recent improvement not merely to calling software “agents,” but to agents gaining context, service connectivity, and virtual computers. Earlier efforts with OpenClaw, Perplexity Computer, Claude Cowork, ChatGPT, and Slack bots were brittle: they could lose access to Slack, Notion, email, calendars, or browser sessions and fail to complete assignments. GrokBot’s virtual machine, vault, and connected services now let Jason’s assistants supply travel preferences, mileage information, and goals, then have the system book or research things to completion. He recommends building a bot for every recurring assistant task and says even a $1,000 monthly plan could remain worthwhile.
Usage transparency should be part of the product
Jason and Lon agree that GrokBot’s limits caused extra frustration because users could not easily see what they had consumed. Lon discovered that usage can be monitored at cursor.com/dashboard/spending, while Jason says his Ultra account was at 51% with the weekly reset approaching. They want a prominent countdown bar, per-job feedback such as “0.7% of your weekly total,” and recommendations that match a user’s workload to a $20, $100, or $200 tier. Jason believes providers will gradually raise prices, as Uber and Lyft once subsidized rides, but says users should calculate their return rather than complain automatically; his own team would keep using GrokBot even at $1,000 per person.
Odyssey’s simulated fruit fly made world models visible
The hosts introduce Oliver Cameron, co-founder and CEO of Odyssey, after the company’s video of a fruit-fly brain flying through an entirely AI-generated world received 6.2 million views on X. Cameron explains that the environment is imagined in real time rather than filmed by a drone. Odyssey trains world models on vast visual observations so they learn physics, dynamics, causality, and possible futures. In the demonstration, an open-source mapped fruit-fly brain was connected to actions inside the generated environment; the result was a “baby version” of a biological fly that chose to fly. Viewers initially mistook the simulated landscape for real footage.
Cameron is 90% sure reality is a simulation
The fruit-fly demonstration leads to a discussion of simulation theory, with Lon invoking The Matrix and the idea that a consciousness could have no objective way to distinguish virtual from physical reality. Cameron says he is 90% certain that humanity lives in an advanced simulation. Jason presents a paper proposing that reality may be an ASI-alignment simulation designed to see whether participants create superintelligence and keep it aligned. Lon, formerly skeptical because he could not see why anyone would run such a simulation, becomes more open to the idea because humans are now putting animal brains into simulated worlds to see what happens; he places his confidence at roughly 50–50.
Odyssey renders only what an agent needs
Cameron says a world model does not simulate every person, fish, or location at maximum fidelity. It spends GPU capacity on the active agent’s path, leaving irrelevant areas dormant or low-detail; Odyssey can currently support about 20 simultaneous viewpoints and is working toward much larger populations. He compares the system to an attentive learner watching thousands of years of video and taking exhaustive notes on motion, gravity, fluid dynamics, humans, and cause and effect. Odyssey’s commercial purpose is not philosophical simulation but training robots and agents. Cameron says the model learns general concepts first, then can become a capable driver or manipulator from only 20–30 hours of task-specific experience.
World models aim to fix self-driving’s narrow training
Cameron says his eight years building driverless cars convinced him that the industry trained systems too narrowly by repeatedly showing them how to drive, rather than teaching a general understanding of the world first. That approach leaves vehicles vulnerable to unusual edge cases. Odyssey instead offers a foundation world model and lets robotics companies post-train it for their particular tasks. Customers include humanoid-robot, factory, self-driving, and drone companies, which deploy the resulting models in the field. Odyssey already generates revenue, has raised $370 million from investors including Amazon, AMD, NVIDIA, and GB, operates in the Bay Area, London, and Zurich, and is hiring at odyssey.systems.
AI’s political problem is job displacement, not branding
The hosts discuss polling showing 66% of Americans oppose data centers anywhere in the United States, with opposition reaching 80% among people 30 and younger. Jason predicts AI will dominate politics through 2028 because workers may lose jobs without owning the equity created by AI companies. He proposes mass homebuilding, free trade schools, and dramatically cheaper baseline healthcare as ways to make people feel included. They criticize OpenAI’s proposed “AI compute campus” rebrand and Meta’s El Paso advertising unless benefits are tangible. Jason suggests publishing guaranteed tax contributions and visibly overfunding local schools, rather than relying on commercials about construction jobs that disappear after a facility is built.
Personal software, space compute, and the next interface
Lon describes Andrej Karpathy’s HackerTube, which used Claude to extract 6,454 repeatedly recommended videos from 43 million Hacker News comments and present them without YouTube’s recommendation clutter. Jason built an “Unsponsored” Amazon Chrome extension that hides sponsored listings, banners, carousels, display ads, and brand promotions, arguing that everyone can now create custom interfaces. They then discuss Google’s first space-data-center test: four TPUs on a Planet Labs satellite ran Gemma 4, though only one chip operated at a time for about 20 minutes and produced a haiku. Jason says low Earth orbit could eventually provide vast solar-powered compute without land, water, permitting, or local opposition, especially once Starship’s 100,000–150,000-kilogram payload capacity makes launches economical.
Sponsors
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- Plaud · Plaud’s NotePin records conversations, meetings, and interviews, then turns transcripts into whatever format the user needs. The hosts planned to investigate connecting Plaud to GrokBot so meeting transcripts could generate tasks and ideas. The code TWIST gives customers 10% off.
- Northwest Registered Agent · Northwest Registered Agent offers free identity services for new companies: a domain name, open-source website hosting, business email, phone number, and other startup assets, with no purchase required. The company says it does not sell customer data.
Show notes
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Today’s show:
Odyssey co-founder and CEO Oliver Cameron builds simulated worlds for a living, so we asked him the obvious question: are we all living in one, right now? He says he’s 90% certain that, yes, we are.
To help make the case (and show off their world model technology), Oliver’s team dropped a simulated fruit fly brain into an AI world, that’s being rendered and created in real time. So far, on X, 6.2 million people have watched the virtual fly navigate an imaginary world.
On TWiST, we’re digging into how world models learn about physics, gravity, and causality just by watching videos, what make Odyssey-3 an ideal trainig ground for AI agents, and why a world model only renders the parts of the world that are currently being experienced.
It’s a peek inside the technology that may, one day, allow us to enslave people in The Matrix and turn them into batteries. Or train self-driving cars more effectively! One of those.
Plus: SpaceX throttles Grok Bot over unsustainably high costs, but Jason says it’s worth every penny. And will OpenAI’s suggested name change from data centers to “compute campuses,” and Meta’s efforts to improve El Paso, help turn around American attitudes? Or is blasting them into space the only remaining viable option?
Guest
Oliver Cameron on X: https://x.com/olivercameron
Odyssey: https://odyssey.systems/
Relevant Links
The fruit fly brain flying inside Odyssey-3 (6.2M views): https://x.com/odysseyml/status/2111589148146749616
Meet Odyssey-3, Odyssey's foundation world model: https://odyssey.systems/meet-odyssey-3
FlyWire: https://flywire.ai/
Nick Bostrom, "Are You Living in a Computer Simulation?”: https://simulation-argument.com/simulation.pdf
Do we live in a simulation? Chances are about 50-50 (Scientific American): https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/do-we-live-in-a-simulation-chances-are-about-50-50/
"Beyond Perception: Proposing Our Reality as an ASI Alignment Simulation" (Ali Eslami, IPI Letters): https://ipipublishing.org/index.php/ipil/article/view/350
The double-slit experiment explained (Royal Institution, Jim Al-Khalili): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A9tKncAdlHQ
“A Glitch in the Matrix” trailer: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=au8eT79WUJ0
Elon Musk throttles Grok Bot limits over "unsustainably high" costs (TechCrunch): https://techcrunch.com/2026/11/02/elon-musk-throttles-grok-bot-limits-due-to-unsustainably-high-costs/
Elon's post: "The cost of serving Grok Bot was unsustainably high relative to revenue”: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2116992258520064397
Jason's post: "< $40k a year on tokens… getting $2m+ in value": https://x.com/Jason/status/2117126320962351277
Grok Bot: https://x.ai/bot
Plaud Web: https://web.plaud.ai
Founder University Japan: https://japan.founder.university/
Most Americans say AI is bad for society and oppose more data centers (ABC/WaPo/Ipsos): https://abc7ny.com/story/most-americans-say-ai-is-bad-society-oppose-more-data-centers-abcpostipsos-poll/19964027/
Chris Lehane's memo: AI will be the issue in 2028 (TNW): https://thenextweb.com/news/chris-lehane-memo-openai-2028-ai-election
Meta touts El Paso water and grid pledges as council weighs incentives (KFOX): https://kfoxtv.com/news/local/meta-touts-10b-el-paso-data-center-water-and-grid-pledges-as-council-weighs-incentives
UT Austin's Texas Advance Commitment (free tuition under $100K): https://admissions.utexas.edu/cost-aid/financial-aid/texas-advance-commitment/
Andrej Karpathy's HackerTube post: https://x.com/karpathy/status/2116957135661945283
Jason's "Unsponsored" Chrome extension for Amazon: https://x.com/Jason/status/2116380861167714594
Google's first data center satellite is online and writing poetry (TechCrunch): https://techcrunch.com/2026/10/30/googles-first-data-center-satellite-is-online-and-writing-poetry/
What is low Earth orbit? (Universe Today): https://www.universetoday.com/articles/what-is-low-earth-orbit
Timestamps:
0:00 Grok Bot users are at their limit
3:36 How Jason and LAUNCH get $2M+ in value out of AI
5:46 Jason’s Grok-made jacket lookbook
10:35 Paper is the legal backbone for thousands of startup founders and fund managers - including Jason. Use https://getpaper.ai/twist to get your cap table free for a year - or two years if you're leaving Carta.
14:12 Everything changed in AI over the last 90 days
20:41 G2i has been recruiting software engineers for over a decade. Go to https://g2i.co/twist to find out how G2i vets engineers, and can help you hire them in days, not weeks.
22:06 Plaud: If your work depends on conversations - interviews, meetings, calls - you need a Plaud NotePin S. You can check it out at https://plaud.ai/twist and use code TWIST for 10% off!
22:37 Wiring our Plaud into our Grok Bot
23:24 Odyssey’s fruit fly video zooms to 6.2M views
27:32 All About Simulation Theory
34:34 Got a new business idea? Northwest Registered Agent helps you bring it to life. Get a free domain, email, phone number, and more - with no purchase required! Learn more at https://www.northwestregisteredagent.com/twistdomain
38:33 What is the double slit experiment?
40:47 How to teach a robot about physics
50:01 OpenAI’s plan to make Americans love data centers
56:53 Meta’s El Paso data center pitch
1:02:26 AI companies should overfund local schools
1:06:27 Karpathy’s HackerTube project
1:13:02 Google’s first space data center goes online
1:17:51 How much room is there in low Earth orbit?
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