Morning Brew Daily

Jerome Powell Ain’t Leavin’ Yet & Movie Tickets Cost $50!?

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Key takeaways

  • Jerome Powell’s decision to remain on the Federal Reserve’s board provides continuity at a turbulent time with political pressures and divided opinions on interest rates.
  • Tech giants are investing heavily in AI, with Alphabet showing strong growth and Microsoft struggling with slower adoption and cloud growth.
  • Consumer experiences are changing, with premium movie tickets costing up to $50 and prediction markets being heavily manipulated by bots.
  • Sleep aid usage is rising among Americans, reflecting widespread sleep issues, with demographic differences influencing preferences.
  • Industry shifts include Uber integrating hotel bookings with Expedia and LIV Golf’s ongoing financial struggles and potential closure.

Summary

Federal Reserve and Jerome Powell's Exit Strategy

This segment covers Jerome Powell's final Fed meeting as Chair, emphasizing his concerns about threats to the Fed's independence from political attacks, notably from President Trump. Powell announced he will remain a Fed governor through 2028, even as his term as Chair ends on May 15. The discussion highlighted the divided nature of the current Fed with dissenting votes on interest rate decisions, the impact of rising oil prices and inflation, and Powell’s decision to stay on to provide stability amidst political and economic turmoil. The transition to new leadership under Kevin Warsh was also examined, noting the unusual move of Powell remaining on the board post-chair, a rarity in recent history.

Major Tech Earnings and Market Trends

The podcast reviews earnings reports from Google (Alphabet), Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft — collectively key players in the S&P 500. Alphabet reported a 22% revenue jump driven by AI investments and cloud growth, maintaining dominance in search and chips. Amazon showed robust cloud revenue and expansion into various sectors, including space. Microsoft faced challenges with slow cloud growth and slower adoption of its AI tools like Copilot, leading to a stagnant stock performance. Meta increased revenue but without clear AI deployment strategies, raising concerns. The overall theme underscores how AI and cloud investments are central to these companies’ futures and market dynamics.

Consumer Trends and Industry Insights

This section discusses the rising costs of entertainment, highlighting $50 movie tickets for premium IMAX experiences, and how theaters are increasing revenue per customer despite fewer tickets sold. It also explores the failure of prediction markets like Polymarket, where bots outperform human traders, revealing a lack of fairness. Sleep aids are in high demand, with nearly 13% of Americans relying on medications or supplements to sleep, and demographic differences noted. Additionally, Uber’s new plan to include hotel bookings via Expedia showcases industry shifts towards integrated travel apps, while LIV Golf’s ongoing struggles and potential shutdown reflect developments in the sports industry.

Key Takeaways

1. Jerome Powell is staying on as a Fed governor until 2028, providing stability amidst a divided Fed and political pressures. 2. Major tech companies are heavily investing in AI, with Alphabet excelling and Microsoft facing growth hurdles. 3. Entertainment and consumer habits are shifting—premium ticket prices are rising, prediction markets are dominated by bots, and sleep aid usage is increasing. 4. Industry strategies are evolving, exemplified by Uber’s hotel booking expansion and the declining LIV Golf league. 5. The inflationary environment, rising oil prices, and geopolitical events continue to influence economic policy and corporate earnings.

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Show notes

Episode 835: Neal and Toby do a roundup of major tech earnings coming from Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon. Then, the Federal Reserve keeps rates steady in what is likely Jerome Powell’s last policy meeting as leader. Next, Neal shares numbers on the $50 movie ticket, prediction market losses, and sleep aids for Americans. Finally, Uber gets into the hotel business and LIV Golf is on its deathbed. 

Learn more at https://www.windmillair.com/MBD

Learn more about the Verizon Visa Card: https://www.verizon.com/financial-services/verizon-visa-card/?CMP=ec_mb 

Get tix for Morning Brew’s live show! https://www.caveat.nyc/events/morning-brew-presents-business-island-4-30-2026 

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