WSJ What’s News

Why U.S. Home Sales Ended 2025 on a High Note

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Key takeaways

  • U.S. consumers showed strong spending and borrowing at the end of 2025, as evidenced by major banks' earnings.
  • President Trump's proposed cap on credit card interest rates may significantly alter the credit rewards landscape but faces uncertainty in Congress.
  • Recent layoffs at Meta highlight a strategic shift away from the metaverse towards more pressing technologies like AI.
  • The new betting market on home prices introduces real-time data insights but comes with significant risks for users.
  • Existing home sales showed a surprising rise in December, potentially signaling a shift in the housing market dynamics.
  • Political decisions and international relations are rapidly shifting, notably affecting immigration policies and responses to protests.

Summary

U.S. Consumers Continue to Spend

Major U.S. banks released their earnings, indicating that American consumers maintained healthy spending and borrowing rates toward the end of 2025. JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo collectively reported profits amounting to $28.5 billion for the fourth quarter, marking a nearly 5% increase from the previous year. Despite these positive earnings, the stock prices of these banks fell, alongside losses in tech stocks as the NASDAQ dropped by 1%.

Implications of Credit Card Interest Rate Cap Proposal

In a bid to address affordability concerns, President Trump has proposed a one-year 10% cap on credit card interest rates. If implemented, this could disrupt the credit card rewards landscape, particularly affecting those with lower credit scores. Personal finance reporter Amani Moise explained how potential reward cuts would primarily impact basic credit cards, while higher-tier rewards could remain intact. The proposal's chances of becoming policy seem uncertain, with skepticism surrounding its passage through Congress.

Meta's Layoffs and Shift in Focus

Meta announced the layoff of approximately 1,500 employees from its Reality Labs division, a move signaling the company's pivot from the metaverse to focus more on artificial intelligence, aligning with industry trends. This adjustment reflects the current sentiment in the tech sector, where companies are reassessing their priorities.

Innovative Betting on Home Prices

Recent partnerships between Polymarket and Parcel now allow individuals to wager on the direction of home prices, raising discussions on whether this could serve as a speculative tool or a pragmatic method for buyers and sellers. While the CEO of Parcel views it as a way to provide data to close the knowledge gap between regular buyers and institutional investors, others see it as a platform for gamblers. These markets may indicate real-time sentiment rather than lagging historical data, but they also carry inherent risks.

Surge in U.S. Home Sales

The housing market experienced a significant uptick in existing home sales, increasing by 5.1% in December, marking the largest growth in nearly two years. Nicole Friedman attributed this rise to lower mortgage rates, which have decreased from nearly 7% to around 6.2%, giving buyers greater purchasing power and improved negotiating conditions. While this momentum is promising, experts caution that any influx of buyers could drive prices up again.

Political Climate and International Relations

In a separate segment, the Trump administration announced a pause on immigrant visas from 75 countries, part of ongoing efforts to restrict low-income foreigners from immigrating to the U.S. The situation in Iran escalated with military actions considered to protect anti-government protesters, amidst rising tensions.

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Show notes

P.M. Edition for Jan. 14. U.S. existing home sales rose 5.1% in December, their biggest gain in two years. Journal reporter Nicole Friedman discusses what’s driving the gains in the struggling housing market and whether the momentum can continue. Plus, the U.S. military is evacuating some personnel from Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar as President Trump considers a strike on Iran. And earnings from some of the biggest U.S. banks such as Bank of America, Citigroup and Wells Fargo show strong consumer spending in the fourth quarter. Alex Ossola hosts.


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