The Cost of Living Crisis Isn’t Going Away
· Summarized
Key takeaways
- Chuck Schumer is expected to remain Senate Democratic leader because no challenger has emerged and many colleagues credit him with Democrats’ Senate victory, despite dissent from some newly elected senators.
- The final Democratic Senate majority remains uncertain because Alaska’s ranked-choice count may take weeks and Mississippi’s narrow result could require further ballot processing or litigation.
- AI infrastructure growth may be slowed by local resistance to data centers, with Ohio and Texas governors-elect calling for conditional construction freezes.
- A Democratic Congress is expected to have greater leverage over Trump’s domestic agenda and funding than over foreign policy, where he may retain substantial freedom of action.
- Central bankers and markets expect more rate increases because energy costs, food prices, and delayed utility-price effects suggest the inflation and affordability crisis is not over.
Summary
Chuck Schumer is expected to remain Senate Democratic leader
Despite several newly elected Democrats saying they will not vote for him and calls for a discussion about the party’s future goals, Chuck Schumer is expected to win reelection as Senate Democratic leader and become majority leader again. No challenger has emerged. The report says Schumer retains broad support because many senators view him as the architect of Democrats’ large Senate victory, reversing the pressure for his resignation that he faced from progressives and advocates last spring.
Alaska and Mississippi leave the size of the Senate majority unresolved
Democrats could ultimately hold 54, 55, or 56 Senate seats. In Alaska, Democrat Mary Peltola is separated from Republican Dan Sullivan by fewer than 1,000 votes, with about three-quarters counted; because nobody has more than 50%, ranked-choice redistribution cannot begin until the November 18 absentee-ballot deadline, potentially delaying the result for weeks. In Mississippi, Democrat Scott Colombe leads Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith by just over 1,100 votes with 96% counted. Counties must certify by November 13, and Colombe says his campaign has an “army of lawyers” ready to litigate if needed.
Local opposition could slow the expansion of AI data centers
Meta President Dina Powell-McCormick said she spends about 80% of her time securing computing power and expects data-center construction to become harder as voters and officials challenge new facilities. She said communities want jobs and investment but require local support and workable development models. The governors-elect of Ohio and Texas have called for conditional freezes on new data-center construction, even as Meta is building major facilities in both states and another in Louisiana.
A Democratic Congress may constrain Trump at home more than abroad
Wall Street Journal reporter Bertrand Benoit said President Trump will likely have more room on foreign policy and tariff-driven trade policy than on domestic matters because Congress can block nominees, restrict spending, and challenge war powers. He stressed that Trump is unpredictable and that Congress may not be able to rely on the White House to follow legislative demands. On Iran, Trump could escalate or seek a face-saving exit; the absence of another election removes some political risk, but ending the conflict remains complicated.
Cuba, Israel, and Ukraine present competing foreign-policy possibilities
Benoit said a new conflict with Cuba would seem unlikely while Trump is struggling to exit the Iran war, although the rapid, low-cost Venezuela operation could make a quick Cuba campaign attractive. He expects possible U.S.-Israel distance, noting Trump’s announced plan to end military aid next year and elected candidates who campaigned on withdrawing it. Ukraine may receive more weapons through congressional funding, but Trump could pursue a rapid peace settlement favorable to Russia, especially after talks with China and Russia.
Central banks are warning that the cost-of-living crisis will persist
Reporter Chelsea Delaney said markets expect additional rate increases from the Bank of England, Federal Reserve, and European Central Bank. Energy prices linked to the Iran war have not fully passed through to electricity bills, and El Niño could raise food prices next year, so inflation may not yet have peaked. Higher borrowing costs are also freezing housing: Zillow’s CEO called the market one of the toughest in a generation, with buyers and sellers sidelined or frightened by mortgage-rate increases. Zillow’s revenue rose 7% year over year, but its stock fell 16% after earnings.
Nintendo and Sony benefit from entertainment hits beyond traditional gaming
Nintendo reported an 11% increase in first-half net profit, helped by an 88% jump in intellectual-property income after the success of the Super Mario Galaxy movie. The company is expanding into films, theme parks, and broader entertainment. Sony raised its annual earnings forecast after this summer’s Spider-Man film generated more than $900 million worldwide; its entertainment push includes billions of dollars in acquisitions and joint ventures, including work with TSMC.
Sponsors
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Show notes
A.M. Edition for Nov. 5. U.S. voters went to the polls with affordability and the economy on their mind, but this week central bankers around the world are warning of more pain to come and little relief in sight. Plus, we explore what a Democratic Congress will mean for President Trump’s foreign policy agenda and not least the Iran war. And even though several newly elected Democrats have called for change, congressional reporter Lindsay Wise says Chuck Schumer is on course to resume his post as Senate Majority Leader. Luke Vargas hosts.
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